基于累积前景理论的考虑群体参考点的多指标风险决策方法

针对考虑多个决策者给出不同的指标期望的多指标风险决策问题,提出一种基于累积前景理论的决策分析方法。在本文中,将决策者给出的指标期望视为参照点,通过构建基于参照点的价值矩阵和权重矩阵,进而构建前景决策矩阵,并基于前景决策矩阵来计算每个方案的综合前景值,然后依据综合前景值的大小对所有方案进行排序。最后,通过一个算例说明了该方法的可行性和有效性。     

不确定性环境下消错决策方法的研究

针对不确定性决策问题,本文首先给出了错误的概念并提出本研究的两个假设前提,然后在此基础上引出错误绝对损失值的概念,根据错误绝对损失值构建错误绝对损失矩阵。进而构建了消错离心法、消错理想点法和消错投影法三种决策方法。为构建消错组合决策模型,采用Copeland法对上述三种消错决策方法进行组合。最后通过实例说明该方法的有效性和可行性。     

Joint control of production,remanufacturing, and disposal activities in a hybrid manufacturing–remanufacturing system

To generate insights into how production of new items and remanufacturing and disposal of returned products can be effectively coordinated, we develop a model of a hybrid manufacturing–remanufacturing system. Formulating the model as a Markov decision process, we investigate the structure of the optimal policy that jointly controls production, remanufacturing, and disposal decisions. Considering the average profit maximization criterion, we show that the joint optimal policy can be characterized by three monotone switching curves. Moreover, we show that there exist serviceable (i.e., as-new) and remanufacturing (i.e., returned) inventory thresholds beyond which production cannot be optimal but disposal is always optimal. We also identify conditions under which idling and disposal actions are always optimal when the system is empty. Using numerical comparisons between models with and without remanufacturing and disposal options, we generate insights into the benefit of utilizing these options. To effectively coordinate production, remanufacturing, and disposal activities, we propose a simple, implementable, and yet effective heuristic policy. Our extensive numerical results suggest that the proposed heuristic can greatly help firms to effectively coordinate their production, remanufacturing, and disposal activities and thereby reduce their operational costs.     

Distance-Based Knowledge Measure for Intuitionistic Fuzzy Sets with Its Application in Decision Making

Much attention has been paid to construct an applicable knowledge measure or uncertainty measure for Atanassov’s intuitionistic fuzzy set (AIFS). However, many of these measures were developed from intuitionistic fuzzy entropy, which cannot really reflect the knowledge amount associated with an AIFS well. Some knowledge measures were constructed based on the distinction between an AIFS and its complementary set, which may lead to information loss in decision making. In this paper, knowledge amount of an AIFS is quantified by calculating the distance from an AIFS to the AIFS with maximum uncertainty. Axiomatic properties for the definition of knowledge measure are extended to a more general level. Then the new knowledge measure is developed based on an intuitionistic fuzzy distance measure. The properties of the proposed distance-based knowledge measure are investigated based on mathematical analysis and numerical examples. The proposed knowledge measure is finally applied to solve the multi-attribute group decision-making (MAGDM) problem with intuitionistic fuzzy information. The new MAGDM method is used to evaluate the threat level of malicious code. Experimental results in malicious code threat evaluation demonstrate the effectiveness and validity of proposed method.     

Thermal analysis and water-cooling design of the CSNS MEBT 324 MHz buncher cavity

At least two bunchers are needed in the 3 MeV H- Medium Energy Beam Transport(MEBT)line located between RFQ and DTL for the CSNS(China Spallation Neutron Source).A nose-cone geometry has been adopted as the type of buncher cavity for its simplicity,higher impedance and lower risk of multipacting.By making use of the results got from the simulations on the buncher with two-dimension code SUPERFISH,the thermal and structural analyses have been carried out,the process and results to determine the resulting frequency shift due to thermal and structural distortion of the cavity are presented,the water-cooling channel position and the optimum cooling water temperature as well as the tuning method by adjusting the cooling water temperature when the cavity is out of resonance are also determined through the analyses.     

新型便携式连续可调直流高压电源的研制

本文介绍了一种新型连续可调直流高压电源的原理及设计 ,该电源成本低、静态功耗小、体积小、重量轻、结构简单、工作可靠     

Selection of adequate optimization criteria in chromatographic separations

Computer-assisted optimization of chromatographic separations is still a fruitful activity. In fact, advances in computerized data handling should make the application of systematic optimization strategies much easier. However, in most contemporary applications, the optimization criterion is not considered to be a key issue (Vanbel, J Pharm Biomed, 21:603–610, 1999). In this paper, an update of the importance of selecting adequate criteria in chromatographic separation is presented.     

在DEA中有关输出与输入的比值的模型的探讨

对以决策单元的输出与输入的比值为目标函数的多目标规划模型,证明了有关它与(弱)DEA有效(C2R)关系的三个定理.     

Application of possibility theory to investment decisions

Carlson and Fuller (2001, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 122, 315–326) introduced the concept of possibilistic mean, variance and covariance of fuzzy numbers. In this paper, we extend some of these results to a nonlinear type of fuzzy numbers called adaptive fuzzy numbers (see Bodjanova (2005, Information Science, 172, 73–89) for detail). We then discuss the application of these results to decision making problems in which the parameters may involve uncertainty and vagueness. As an application, we develop expression for fuzzy net present value (FNPV) of future cash flows involving adaptive fuzzy numbers by using their possibilistic moments. An illustrative numerical example is given to illustrate the results.     

Stability of efficiency evaluations in data envelopment analysis

Efficiency evaluations in data envelopment analysis are shown to be stable for arbitrary perturbations in the convex hulls of input and output data. Also, the corresponding restricted Lagrange multiplier functions are shown to be continuous. The results are proved using point-to-set mappings and a particular region of stability from input optimization.Research partly supported by National Science Foundation Grants, Office of Naval Research Grant, and by the Natural Sciences and Engineering Council of Canada.